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When will the summer coronavirus surge peak? It will get worse before it gets better, experts predict.

Modelers at the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation predict a rise through mid-August, leveling off at about 300,000 cases daily. In that scenario, deaths rise to a September high of 1,500 daily. But if everyone were to wear a mask — an unlikely prospect, institute epidemiologist Ali Mokdad acknowledged — the caseload could be about 10 times smaller.

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